GÉOPOLITIQUE19 août 2026· 16 min
Geopolitical Risk Scoring: A Quantitative Model for Strategic Decision-Making
Geopolitical volatility now costs multinationals an estimated $1.1 trillion annually in disrupted operations. This premium guide delivers a battle-tested, six-factor quantitative scoring model with explicit methodology, real-world case studies, and prioritized strategic recommendations.
SOURCES
[1]IMF World Economic Outlook 2024 — 'Geopolitical Fragmentation and Global Trade', International Monetary Fund, April 2024
[2]Caldara, D. & Iacoviello, M. — 'Measuring Geopolitical Risk', American Economic Review, Federal Reserve Board, 2022
[3]ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project) — Global Conflict & Protest Data, acleddata.com, accessed 2024
[4]V-Dem Institute — 'Democracy Report 2024: Democracy Winning and Losing at the Ballot', University of Gothenburg, 2024
[5]McKinsey Global Institute — 'Risk, Resilience, and Rebalancing in Global Value Chains', McKinsey & Company, 2022
[6]Xeneta Ocean Freight Rate Intelligence — Red Sea Crisis Shipping Data, Xeneta AS, February 2024
[7]PwC — 'Global Crisis and Resilience Survey 2023', PricewaterhouseCoopers International, 2023
[8]UCDP (Uppsala Conflict Data Program) — Georeferenced Event Dataset, Uppsala University, 2024