GEOPOLITICS11 July 2026· 16 min

Geopolitical Risk Scoring: An Applied Quantitative Model for Strategic Decision-Makers

Beyond qualitative assessments, geopolitical risk demands rigorous quantification. This article presents a reproducible, multi-dimensional scoring model tested across 12 markets, with measurable outcomes and actionable strategic thresholds for investment and operational decisions.

InekIA Editorial Team

LI X

SOURCES

[1]Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) — acleddata.com, 2024 dataset

[2]McKinsey Global Institute — 'The Complication of Concentration' (2023), geopolitical risk management benchmarking study

[3]International Country Risk Guide (ICRG) — PRS Group, Political Risk Rating methodology, 2024

[4]World Bank Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) — databank.worldbank.org, 2023 edition

[5]Control Risks — RiskMap 2024 Global Report, corporate geopolitical risk spending survey

[6]Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) — Department of Peace and Conflict Research, Uppsala University, 2024

[7]MIGA (Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency) — Political Risk Insurance market report, World Bank Group 2023

[8]Global Terrorism Index 2024 — Institute for Economics & Peace

[9]Eurasia Group — Global Political Risk Index (GPRI) methodology documentation, 2023

[10]V-Dem Institute — Varieties of Democracy Dataset v13, University of Gothenburg 2024