GEOPOLITICS21 August 2026· 16 min
Geopolitical Risk Scoring: A Practitioner's Quantitative Model
Beyond qualitative assessments, this premium guide delivers a reproducible, multi-factor quantitative framework for scoring geopolitical risk—complete with weighting methodology, live case calibrations across three high-stakes regions, and prioritized strategic recommendations for capital allocation and supply-chain resilience.
SOURCES
[1]IMF World Economic Outlook 2024 — Chapter 2: Geopolitical Fragmentation and Global Trade
[2]BlackRock Investment Institute, BlackRock Geopolitical Risk Indicator (BGRI) Methodology and Monthly Reports, 2023–2024
[3]ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project), acleddata.com — Data methodology and API documentation
[4]CSIS Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative (AMTI), China Power Project — Taiwan Strait military activity database 2022
[5]Damodaran, A. (2024). Country Risk: Determinants, Measures and Implications — Annual Update, NYU Stern School of Business
[6]Bain & Company, Global CFO Risk Readiness Survey 2023 — Geopolitical Risk Module
[7]Clarksons Research, Shipping Intelligence Network — Red Sea Disruption Impact Report Q1 2024
[8]UxC LLC, Uranium Market Outlook — Niger Supply Disruption Analysis, Q3–Q4 2023
[9]IISS Armed Conflict Database 2023 — Annual Statistical Appendix
[10]Fund for Peace, Fragile States Index 2023 — Methodology and Indicators Documentation