GEOPOLITICS9 July 2026· 16 min

Geopolitical Risk Scoring: A Quantitative Model for Strategic Decision-Making

Beyond gut instinct and qualitative assessments, this premium framework delivers a reproducible 7-factor quantitative model for geopolitical risk scoring—complete with calibration data, real-world case studies from Taiwan, Ukraine, and the Red Sea corridor, and actionable strategic recommendations tiered by urgency.

InekIA Editorial Team

LI X

SOURCES

[1]World Economic Forum — Global Risks Report 2024 (weforum.org/publications/global-risks-report-2024)

[2]ACLED — Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project, 2024 dataset (acleddata.com)

[3]SIPRI — Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Military Expenditure Database 2024 (sipri.org/databases/milex)

[4]Aon — Political Risk Map and Survey Report 2023 (aon.com/political-risk)

[5]McKinsey Global Institute — Geopolitics and the geometry of global trade, 2023 (mckinsey.com)

[6]CSIS Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative — Taiwan Strait Naval Incident Tracker 2024 (amti.csis.org)

[7]Freightos Baltic Index — Container Freight Rate Historical Data 2023–2024 (fbx.freightos.com)

[8]Stanford Internet Observatory — IO Archive and Disinformation Tracking (io.stanford.edu)

[9]World Bank — Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) 2023 (info.worldbank.org/governance/wgi)

[10]Tetlock & Gardner — Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction, adapted empirical findings (Crown Publishers, 2022 updated analysis)